Official Accuracy Contest
PREDICT THE WORLD.
VERIFY THE TRUTH.
The first unbribable forecasting arena. Weekly predictions settled at 00:00 UTC against official government data.
TWO ARENAS OF REALITY
Select your domain. Data is binary. Results are absolute.
BLOCK 01
THERMAL PRECISION
Predict weekly city temperatures. Verified against official station readings.
BLOCK 02
EXTREME EVENTS
Binary prediction of major disasters: Hurricanes, Earthquakes, Floods. Yes/No.
THE PROTOCOL
1. POSITION
Submit forecasts before the hard lock. No edits allowed after the window closes.
2. OBSERVATION
Real-world events unfold. Monitor live data feeds as reality aligns or diverges.
3. VERIFICATION
Settlement at 00:00 UTC. Automated verification against NOAA, USGS, and official bureaus.
Verified By Official Sources
NOAAUSGSNHCJMAMet Office
LIVE ACCURACY LEADERBOARD
Top forecasters ranked by Brier Score and absolute precision. Prove your analysis against the global elite.
98.4%
Top Accuracy (This Week)
12,405
Verified Predictions